Championship Championship March 7, 2026
Derby

Derby

21
FT
Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday

We predicted

1-0 33% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 33%
Team Context
Derby
Rank#8
Played35
Points51
PPG1.46
Goal Diff6
W L L W L
Sheffield Wednesday
24#Rank
35Played
-7Points
-0.2PPG
-50Goal Diff
L L L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.2%
5.5
0-0
13.5%
7.42
2-0
12.3%
8.14
1-1
11.9%
8.4
Both Teams To Score
YES 36% · 2.81
NO 64% · 1.55
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Derby 50% · 1.99
Draw 35% · 2.86
Sheffield Wednesday 15% · 6.73
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.08 Under 68% · 1.48
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.68 Under 40% · 2.47
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
86%
Over 14% · 6.97 Under 86% · 1.17

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Derby Derby
W L L W L
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
L L L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Derby
Stat
Sheffield Wednesday
1.35
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.65
#8
League Pos.
#24
51 pts
Points
-7 pts
1.46
Points / Game
-0.2
+6
Goal Diff.
-50

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
40 25 8 7 +42 83
2
Millwall Millwall
40 21 9 10 +10 72
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
40 20 11 9 +21 71
4
Ipswich Ipswich
38 19 12 7 +28 69
5
Hull City Hull City
40 20 7 13 +5 67
6
Wrexham Wrexham
40 17 13 10 +9 64
7
Southampton Southampton
39 17 12 10 +15 63
8
Derby Derby H
40 17 9 14 +7 60
9
Watford Watford
40 14 14 12 +3 56
10
QPR QPR
40 16 8 16 -5 56
11
Norwich Norwich
40 16 7 17 +6 55
12
Stoke City Stoke City
40 15 9 16 +5 54
13
Bristol City Bristol City
40 15 9 16 +0 54
14
Birmingham Birmingham
40 14 11 15 -2 53
15
Preston Preston
40 13 14 13 -4 53
16
Swansea Swansea
40 15 8 17 -5 53
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
40 15 6 19 +0 51
18
Charlton Charlton
40 12 12 16 -11 48
19
Blackburn Blackburn
40 12 10 18 -12 46
20
West Brom West Brom
40 11 11 18 -14 44
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
39 10 11 18 -17 41
22
Leicester Leicester
40 11 13 16 -9 40
23
Oxford United Oxford United
40 9 13 18 -15 40
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday A
40 1 9 30 -57 -6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record