Première Division Première Division April 3, 2026
Derby Academie

Derby Academie

20
FT
US Bougouba

US Bougouba

We predicted

0-0 44% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 44%
Team Context
Derby Academie
Rank#10
Played16
Points16
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-5
W L D D D
US Bougouba
8#Rank
16Played
20Points
1.25PPG
-4Goal Diff
L W W L D
Most Likely Scores
0-0
23.6%
4.24
0-1
17.2%
5.81
1-0
16.9%
5.93
1-1
12.3%
8.13
Both Teams To Score
YES 26% · 3.78
NO 74% · 1.36
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Derby Academie 22% · 4.45
Draw 41% · 2.47
US Bougouba 37% · 2.7
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.64 Under 82% · 1.22
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.36 Under 58% · 1.73
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.98 Under 94% · 1.06

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Derby Academie Derby Academie
W L D D D
US Bougouba US Bougouba
L W W L D

Key Stats Comparison

Derby Academie
Stat
US Bougouba
0.72
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.73
#10
League Pos.
#8
16 pts
Points
20 pts
1.0
Points / Game
1.25
-5
Goal Diff.
-4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Derby Academie
Draw
US Bougouba
2 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Djoliba Djoliba
16 11 3 2 +17 36
2
Réal Bamako Réal Bamako
17 10 5 2 +14 35
3
Binga Binga
17 9 5 3 +13 32
4
Diarra Diarra
17 9 4 4 +8 31
5
USFAS Bamako USFAS Bamako
17 7 5 5 +5 26
6
ASKO ASKO
16 6 5 5 +5 23
7
Stade Malien Bamako Stade Malien Bamako
14 6 4 4 +0 22
8
US Bougouba US Bougouba A
17 5 5 7 -6 20
9
Derby Academie Derby Academie H
17 3 10 4 -3 19
10
Bakaridjan Bakaridjan
17 4 6 7 -6 18
11
Afrique Football Élite Afrique Football Élite
16 5 3 8 -11 18
12
Onze Créateurs Onze Créateurs
17 3 5 9 -7 14
13
Bougouni Bougouni
17 3 3 11 -17 12
14
Mali Coura Mali Coura
17 2 3 12 -12 9

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record