Jupiler Pro League
March 7, 2026
Dender
2–2
FT
Charleroi
We predicted
1-1
26% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 7 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
26%
Team Context
Dender
Rank#16
Played27
Points18
PPG0.67
Goal Diff-23
D
L
L
L
L
Charleroi
11#Rank
27Played
33Points
1.22PPG
-1Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.9%
7.76
1-0
10.4%
9.58
0-1
10.3%
9.71
0-0
8.4%
11.96
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.98
NO
49% · 2.02
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Dender
26% · 3.83
Draw
34% · 2.92
Charleroi
40% · 2.52
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.22
Under 55% · 1.82
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41
Under 29% · 3.44
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.2
Under 76% · 1.31
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Dender
D
L
L
L
L
Charleroi
L
L
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Dender
Stat
Charleroi
1.25
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.23
#16
League Pos.
#11
18 pts
Points
33 pts
0.67
Points / Game
1.22
-23
Goal Diff.
-1
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Dender
Draw
Charleroi
21
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | +33 | 66 |
| 2 |
Club Brugge KV
|
30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | +23 | 63 |
| 3 |
St. Truiden
|
30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | +12 | 57 |
| 4 |
Gent
|
30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | +6 | 45 |
| 5 |
KV Mechelen
|
30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |
Anderlecht
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | +4 | 44 |
| 7 |
Genk
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 |
Standard Liege
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 |
KVC Westerlo
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 |
Antwerp
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 |
Charleroi
A
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 |
OH Leuven
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 |
Zulte Waregem
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 |
Cercle Brugge
|
30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 |
RAAL La Louvière
|
30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 |
Dender
H
|
30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -27 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.