Eerste Divisie
April 6, 2026
De Graafschap
14:45
VS
Jong AZ
Predicted score
De Graafschap 4+
56% confidence
View full match details
Monday, April 6 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
56%
Team Context
De Graafschap
Rank#4
Played34
Points56
PPG1.65
Goal Diff10
D
W
L
W
L
Jong AZ
16#Rank
34Played
37Points
1.09PPG
-7Goal Diff
W
W
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
De Graafschap 4+
30.9%
2-1
8.7%
11.45
3-1
8.5%
11.81
2-0
8.3%
12.02
Both Teams To Score
YES
61% · 1.63
NO
39% · 2.58
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
De Graafschap
63% · 1.59
Draw
27% · 3.75
Jong AZ
11% · 9.46
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34
Under 25% · 3.98
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
90%
Over 90% · 1.11
Under 10% · 10.27
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.83
Under 45% · 2.2
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
De Graafschap
D
W
L
W
L
Jong AZ
W
W
D
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
De Graafschap
Stat
Jong AZ
2.91
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
#4
League Pos.
#16
56 pts
Points
37 pts
1.65
Points / Game
1.09
+10
Goal Diff.
-7
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
De Graafschap
Draw
Jong AZ
20
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ADO Den Haag
|
34 | 26 | 2 | 6 | +44 | 80 |
| 2 |
Cambuur
|
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +28 | 73 |
| 3 |
Willem II
|
34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | +11 | 56 |
| 4 |
De Graafschap
H
|
34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 56 |
| 5 |
Almere City FC
|
34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | +16 | 55 |
| 6 |
Waalwijk
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +8 | 51 |
| 7 |
Roda
|
34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | +6 | 51 |
| 8 |
Jong PSV U21
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | +3 | 50 |
| 9 |
Den Bosch
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 |
FC Eindhoven
|
34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | -10 | 44 |
| 11 |
Dordrecht
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 |
VVV Venlo
|
34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 |
Jong Utrecht
|
33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 |
Emmen
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |
Vitesse
|
34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | +2 | 37 |
| 16 |
Jong AZ
A
|
34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | -7 | 37 |
| 17 |
MVV
|
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -29 | 36 |
| 18 |
Helmond Sport
|
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -21 | 34 |
| 19 |
Jong Ajax
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -16 | 32 |
| 20 |
FC OSS
|
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -17 | 32 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.