Eerste Divisie
March 14, 2026
De Graafschap
15:30
VS
Dordrecht
Predicted score
De Graafschap 4+
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
De Graafschap
Rank#4
Played30
Points49
PPG1.63
Goal Diff8
L
D
W
W
W
Dordrecht
9#Rank
30Played
42Points
1.4PPG
1Goal Diff
D
D
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
De Graafschap 4+
11.1%
1-1
10.7%
9.39
2-1
9.8%
10.19
1-0
9.2%
10.87
Both Teams To Score
YES
58% · 1.73
NO
42% · 2.36
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
De Graafschap
53% · 1.88
Draw
23% · 4.37
Dordrecht
24% · 4.19
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.74
Under 42% · 2.36
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25
Under 20% · 5.0
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.85
Under 65% · 1.54
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
De Graafschap
L
D
W
W
W
Dordrecht
D
D
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
De Graafschap
Stat
Dordrecht
1.84
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#4
League Pos.
#9
49 pts
Points
42 pts
1.63
Points / Game
1.4
+8
Goal Diff.
+1
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
De Graafschap
Draw
Dordrecht
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ADO Den Haag
|
30 | 22 | 2 | 6 | +39 | 68 |
| 2 |
Cambuur
|
29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | +29 | 66 |
| 3 |
Jong PSV U21
|
30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | +8 | 50 |
| 4 |
De Graafschap
H
|
30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 49 |
| 5 |
Willem II
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +5 | 47 |
| 6 |
Roda
|
30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | +4 | 46 |
| 7 |
Almere City FC
|
30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | +11 | 45 |
| 8 |
Waalwijk
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | +6 | 44 |
| 9 |
Dordrecht
A
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 10 |
Den Bosch
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 |
VVV Venlo
|
30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 |
FC Eindhoven
|
30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 |
Emmen
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 |
Jong Utrecht
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 |
Helmond Sport
|
30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -17 | 33 |
| 16 |
MVV
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -23 | 32 |
| 17 |
Vitesse
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 18 |
Jong AZ
|
30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | -9 | 30 |
| 19 |
FC OSS
|
30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 |
Jong Ajax
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -14 | 26 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.