Eerste Divisie Eerste Divisie March 22, 2026
De Graafschap

De Graafschap

12
FT
ADO Den Haag

ADO Den Haag

We predicted

ADO Den Haag 4+ 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted ADO Den Haag 4+
|
Actual 1–2

We predicted the correct result direction (away), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
De Graafschap
Rank#4
Played31
Points52
PPG1.68
Goal Diff9
W L D W W
ADO Den Haag
1#Rank
32Played
74Points
2.31PPG
41Goal Diff
W W L W W
Most Likely Scores
ADO Den Haag 4+
10.5%
1-1
10.4%
9.63
1-2
9.4%
10.63
0-1
7.7%
13.04
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.61
NO 38% · 2.63
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
De Graafschap 21% · 4.7
Draw 32% · 3.14
ADO Den Haag 47% · 2.13
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63 Under 39% · 2.58
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.21 Under 18% · 5.68
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.58 Under 61% · 1.63

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

De Graafschap De Graafschap
W L D W W
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
W W L W W

Key Stats Comparison

De Graafschap
Stat
ADO Den Haag
1.35
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.81
#4
League Pos.
#1
52 pts
Points
74 pts
1.68
Points / Game
2.31
+9
Goal Diff.
+41

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag A
34 26 2 6 +44 80
2
Cambuur Cambuur
34 22 7 5 +28 73
3
Willem II Willem II
34 16 8 10 +11 56
4
De Graafschap De Graafschap H
34 16 8 10 +10 56
5
Almere City FC Almere City FC
34 17 4 13 +16 55
6
Waalwijk Waalwijk
34 14 9 11 +8 51
7
Roda Roda
34 13 12 9 +6 51
8
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21
34 15 5 14 +3 50
9
Den Bosch Den Bosch
33 13 7 13 -1 46
10
FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven
34 13 5 16 -10 44
11
Dordrecht Dordrecht
34 11 10 13 -5 43
12
VVV Venlo VVV Venlo
34 12 5 17 -7 41
13
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
33 10 9 14 -4 39
14
Emmen Emmen
34 10 8 16 -11 38
15
Vitesse Vitesse
34 13 10 11 +2 37
16
Jong AZ Jong AZ
34 11 4 19 -7 37
17
MVV MVV
34 9 9 16 -29 36
18
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
34 9 7 18 -21 34
19
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax
34 8 8 18 -16 32
20
FC OSS FC OSS
34 7 11 16 -17 32

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record