Victoria NPL Victoria NPL March 21, 2026
Dandenong Thunder

Dandenong Thunder

30
FT
South Melbourne

South Melbourne

We predicted

Dandenong Thunder 4+ 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Dandenong Thunder 4+
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Dandenong Thunder
Rank#3
Played26
Points53
PPG2.04
Goal Diff28
L L W W W
South Melbourne
9#Rank
26Played
28Points
1.08PPG
-17Goal Diff
L L D D W
Most Likely Scores
Dandenong Thunder 4+
14.3%
2-1
10.0%
10.03
1-1
9.8%
10.22
2-0
9.2%
10.83
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.74
NO 43% · 2.35
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Dandenong Thunder 40% · 2.53
Draw 31% · 3.26
South Melbourne 30% · 3.36
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.51
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.47
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.66 Under 62% · 1.6

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder
L L W W W
South Melbourne South Melbourne
L L D D W

Key Stats Comparison

Dandenong Thunder
Stat
South Melbourne
2.04
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#3
League Pos.
#9
53 pts
Points
28 pts
2.04
Points / Game
1.08
+28
Goal Diff.
-17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record