Serie A Serie A March 15, 2026
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

33
FT
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

We predicted

1-0 42% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
Cruzeiro
Rank#3
Played38
Points70
PPG1.84
Goal Diff24
L D D W D
Vasco DA Gama
14#Rank
38Played
45Points
1.18PPG
-5Goal Diff
L L W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.2%
5.8
2-0
15.7%
6.38
Cruzeiro 4+
10.9%
3-0
9.5%
10.52
Both Teams To Score
YES 35% · 2.86
NO 65% · 1.54
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Cruzeiro 55% · 1.82
Draw 27% · 3.73
Vasco DA Gama 18% · 5.49
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.39 Under 58% · 1.72
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47 Under 32% · 3.14
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.75 Under 79% · 1.27

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
L D D W D
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
L L W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Cruzeiro
Stat
Vasco DA Gama
1.82
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.54
#3
League Pos.
#14
70 pts
Points
45 pts
1.84
Points / Game
1.18
+24
Goal Diff.
-5

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
3 D
1 W
Cruzeiro
Draw
Vasco DA Gama
11 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
8 6 1 1 +9 19
2
Bahia Bahia
8 5 2 1 +5 17
3
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
9 5 2 2 +5 17
4
Fluminense Fluminense
8 5 1 2 +4 16
5
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
9 5 1 3 +3 16
6
Flamengo Flamengo
7 4 2 1 +8 14
7
Coritiba Coritiba
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Gremio Gremio
8 3 2 3 +1 11
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama A
8 3 2 3 +0 11
10
Vitoria Vitoria
8 3 1 4 -5 10
11
Corinthians Corinthians
8 2 4 2 +0 10
12
Botafogo Botafogo
8 3 0 5 -4 9
13
Internacional Internacional
9 2 3 4 -2 9
14
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
8 2 2 4 -3 8
15
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
8 2 2 4 -4 8
16
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
7 1 4 2 -2 7
17
Santos Santos
8 1 4 3 -3 7
18
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro H
9 1 4 4 -5 7
19
Mirassol Mirassol
8 1 3 4 -3 6
20
remo remo
8 1 3 4 -5 6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record