Championship Championship February 16, 2026
Coventry

Coventry

31
FT
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

We predicted

1-1 27% confidence
View full match details Monday, February 16 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Coventry
Rank#2
Played31
Points59
PPG1.9
Goal Diff28
D L L W W
Middlesbrough
1#Rank
31Played
61Points
1.97PPG
19Goal Diff
W W W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.3%
7.55
1-0
12.3%
8.13
0-1
11.0%
9.12
0-0
10.2%
9.82
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.16
NO 54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Coventry 39% · 2.56
Draw 28% · 3.52
Middlesbrough 33% · 3.07
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.5 Under 60% · 1.67
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 2.99
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.07 Under 80% · 1.25

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Coventry Coventry
D L L W W
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
W W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Coventry
Stat
Middlesbrough
1.21
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#2
League Pos.
#1
59 pts
Points
61 pts
1.9
Points / Game
1.97
+28
Goal Diff.
+19

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry H
40 25 8 7 +42 83
2
Millwall Millwall
40 21 9 10 +10 72
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough A
40 20 11 9 +21 71
4
Ipswich Ipswich
38 19 12 7 +28 69
5
Hull City Hull City
40 20 7 13 +5 67
6
Wrexham Wrexham
40 17 13 10 +9 64
7
Southampton Southampton
39 17 12 10 +15 63
8
Derby Derby
40 17 9 14 +7 60
9
Watford Watford
40 14 14 12 +3 56
10
QPR QPR
40 16 8 16 -5 56
11
Norwich Norwich
40 16 7 17 +6 55
12
Stoke City Stoke City
40 15 9 16 +5 54
13
Bristol City Bristol City
40 15 9 16 +0 54
14
Birmingham Birmingham
40 14 11 15 -2 53
15
Preston Preston
40 13 14 13 -4 53
16
Swansea Swansea
40 15 8 17 -5 53
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
40 15 6 19 +0 51
18
Charlton Charlton
40 12 12 16 -11 48
19
Blackburn Blackburn
40 12 10 18 -12 46
20
West Brom West Brom
40 11 11 18 -14 44
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
39 10 11 18 -17 41
22
Leicester Leicester
40 11 13 16 -9 40
23
Oxford United Oxford United
40 9 13 18 -15 40
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
40 1 9 30 -57 -6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record