Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
March 15, 2026
Covadonga
5–0
FT
Siero
We predicted
Covadonga 4+
40% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Covadonga 4+
|
Actual
5–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Covadonga 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Covadonga
Rank#2
Played25
Points59
PPG2.36
Goal Diff42
L
W
W
D
W
Siero
9#Rank
25Played
32Points
1.28PPG
0Goal Diff
D
L
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Covadonga 4+
15.8%
2-0
11.4%
8.74
1-0
10.8%
9.23
2-1
9.9%
10.11
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.97
NO
49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Covadonga
58% · 1.74
Draw
30% · 3.35
Siero
13% · 7.94
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76
Under 43% · 2.32
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.26
Under 20% · 4.91
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.91
Under 66% · 1.52
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Covadonga
L
W
W
D
W
Siero
D
L
W
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Covadonga
Stat
Siero
2.11
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#2
League Pos.
#9
59 pts
Points
32 pts
2.36
Points / Game
1.28
+42
Goal Diff.
+0
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
1 W
Covadonga
Draw
Siero
14
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.