Serie A Serie A February 14, 2026
Como

Como

12
FT
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

We predicted

Como 4+ 31% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Como 4+
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 31%
Team Context
Como
Rank#6
Played23
Points41
PPG1.78
Goal Diff21
D W W L D
Fiorentina
18#Rank
24Played
18Points
0.75PPG
-11Goal Diff
D L L W D
Most Likely Scores
Como 4+
14.4%
2-1
10.0%
10.02
1-1
9.8%
10.22
2-0
9.3%
10.74
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.75
NO 43% · 2.34
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Como 60% · 1.68
Draw 21% · 4.74
Fiorentina 19% · 5.16
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67 Under 40% · 2.5
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.23 Under 18% · 5.44
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.67 Under 63% · 1.6

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Como Como
D W W L D
Fiorentina Fiorentina
D L L W D

Key Stats Comparison

Como
Stat
Fiorentina
2.04
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#6
League Pos.
#18
41 pts
Points
18 pts
1.78
Points / Game
0.75
+21
Goal Diff.
-11

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
0 D
2 W
Como
Draw
Fiorentina
14 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Inter Inter
30 22 3 5 +42 69
2
AC Milan AC Milan
30 18 9 3 +24 63
3
Napoli Napoli
30 19 5 6 +16 62
4
Como Como H
30 16 9 5 +31 57
5
Juventus Juventus
30 15 9 6 +23 54
6
AS Roma AS Roma
30 17 3 10 +17 54
7
Atalanta Atalanta
30 13 11 6 +14 50
8
Lazio Lazio
31 11 11 9 +3 44
9
Bologna Bologna
30 12 6 12 +2 42
10
Sassuolo Sassuolo
31 12 6 13 -3 42
11
Udinese Udinese
30 11 6 13 -7 39
12
Parma Parma
31 8 11 12 -17 35
13
Genoa Genoa
30 8 9 13 -6 33
14
Torino Torino
30 9 6 15 -19 33
15
Fiorentina Fiorentina A
31 7 11 13 -8 32
16
Cagliari Cagliari
31 7 9 15 -12 30
17
Cremonese Cremonese
30 6 9 15 -19 27
18
Lecce Lecce
30 7 6 17 -19 27
19
Pisa Pisa
30 2 12 16 -31 18
20
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
31 3 9 19 -31 18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record