Liga MX
April 4, 2026
Club Queretaro
23:00
VS
Toluca
Predicted score
Toluca 4+
46% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 4 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
46%
Team Context
Club Queretaro
Rank#17
Played9
Points6
PPG0.67
Goal Diff-8
L
L
D
L
W
Toluca
2#Rank
10Played
24Points
2.4PPG
12Goal Diff
W
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Toluca 4+
16.0%
1-2
10.0%
10.03
0-2
9.5%
10.55
1-1
9.4%
10.7
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.75
NO
43% · 2.34
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Club Queretaro
11% · 9.33
Draw
32% · 3.11
Toluca
57% · 1.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63
Under 39% · 2.59
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21
Under 17% · 5.73
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.57
Under 61% · 1.64
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Club Queretaro
L
L
D
L
W
Toluca
W
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Club Queretaro
Stat
Toluca
1.05
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.13
#17
League Pos.
#2
6 pts
Points
24 pts
0.67
Points / Game
2.4
-8
Goal Diff.
+12
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
4 W
Club Queretaro
Draw
Toluca
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 30 |
| 2 |
Cruz Azul
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 27 |
| 3 |
Toluca
A
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +12 | 25 |
| 4 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |
Pachuca
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 |
Atlas
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Tigres UANL
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 17 |
| 8 |
Club America
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Monterrey
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 |
Necaxa
|
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |
Leon
|
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 13 |
| 12 |
Club Tijuana
|
12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 |
Puebla
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 |
Atletico San Luis
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 |
FC Juarez
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 |
Mazatlán
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 |
Club Queretaro
H
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 |
Santos Laguna
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -17 | 5 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.