Primera División - Apertura Primera División - Apertura March 24, 2026
Club Nacional

Club Nacional

30
FT
Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo

We predicted

Club Nacional 4+ 45% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 24 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Club Nacional 4+
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 45%
Team Context
Club Nacional
Rank#1
Played7
Points21
PPG3.0
Goal Diff10
L W W W W
Cerro Largo
8#Rank
7Played
3Points
0.43PPG
-4Goal Diff
D L L D L
Most Likely Scores
Club Nacional 4+
21.3%
2-0
10.5%
9.48
2-1
9.7%
10.34
1-0
8.7%
11.45
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.83
NO 45% · 2.2
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Club Nacional 60% · 1.66
Draw 28% · 3.52
Cerro Largo 12% · 8.66
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56 Under 36% · 2.8
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19 Under 16% · 6.39
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.38 Under 58% · 1.72

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Club Nacional Club Nacional
L W W W W
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
D L L D L

Key Stats Comparison

Club Nacional
Stat
Cerro Largo
2.42
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.92
#1
League Pos.
#8
21 pts
Points
3 pts
3.0
Points / Game
0.43
+10
Goal Diff.
-4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record