Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
March 21, 2026
Churriana Vega
11:30
VS
UD Melilla II
Predicted score
1-0
40% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Churriana Vega
Rank#6
Played26
Points40
PPG1.54
Goal Diff-5
L
D
W
W
L
UD Melilla II
12#Rank
25Played
30Points
1.2PPG
-2Goal Diff
D
L
D
D
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.5%
5.7
0-0
14.9%
6.7
1-1
12.8%
7.84
0-1
10.9%
9.22
Both Teams To Score
YES
36% · 2.8
NO
64% · 1.55
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Churriana Vega
46% · 2.18
Draw
36% · 2.75
UD Melilla II
18% · 5.66
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.37
Under 70% · 1.42
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76
Under 43% · 2.31
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
87%
Over 13% · 7.97
Under 87% · 1.14
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Churriana Vega
L
D
W
W
L
UD Melilla II
D
L
D
D
D
Key Stats Comparison
Churriana Vega
Stat
UD Melilla II
1.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.73
#6
League Pos.
#12
40 pts
Points
30 pts
1.54
Points / Game
1.2
-5
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
0 W
Churriana Vega
Draw
UD Melilla II
1
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Motril
|
26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | +24 | 53 |
| 2 |
Mijas Las Lagunas
|
26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |
Arenas Armilla
|
25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | +14 | 46 |
| 4 |
Torre del Mar
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +10 | 42 |
| 5 |
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
|
26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 40 |
| 6 |
Churriana Vega
H
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 40 |
| 7 |
Marbelli
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | +7 | 39 |
| 8 |
Huétor Vega
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +0 | 36 |
| 9 |
Atlético Porcuna
|
25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | +5 | 35 |
| 10 |
Granada II
|
26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | +2 | 35 |
| 11 |
Martos
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |
UD Melilla II
A
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 |
UD San Pedro
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 |
Alhaurino
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -6 | 29 |
| 15 |
Huétor Tájar
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 29 |
| 16 |
Mancha Real
|
25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 |
El Palo
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -23 | 20 |
| 18 |
Torreperogil
|
25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -22 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.