First League
March 15, 2026
Cherno More Varna
1–0
FT
Montana
We predicted
1-0
46% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
46%
Team Context
Cherno More Varna
Rank#5
Played25
Points40
PPG1.6
Goal Diff13
W
D
L
D
D
Montana
16#Rank
25Played
16Points
0.64PPG
-26Goal Diff
L
L
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
21.3%
4.7
2-0
17.8%
5.61
0-0
12.7%
7.87
3-0
10.0%
10.05
Both Teams To Score
YES
26% · 3.81
NO
74% · 1.36
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Cherno More Varna
62% · 1.62
Draw
33% · 2.99
Montana
5% · 20.53
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.94
Under 66% · 1.51
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.64
Under 39% · 2.57
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.52
Under 85% · 1.18
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Cherno More Varna
W
D
L
D
D
Montana
L
L
D
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Cherno More Varna
Stat
Montana
1.68
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.39
#5
League Pos.
#16
40 pts
Points
16 pts
1.6
Points / Game
0.64
+13
Goal Diff.
-26
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Cherno More Varna
Draw
Montana
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Levski Sofia
|
26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | +40 | 62 |
| 2 |
Ludogorets
|
27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +35 | 56 |
| 3 |
CSKA 1948
|
26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 4 |
CSKA Sofia
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +14 | 46 |
| 5 |
Cherno More Varna
H
|
26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +14 | 43 |
| 6 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | -5 | 38 |
| 7 |
Slavia Sofia
|
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 35 |
| 8 |
Arda Kardzhali
|
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 35 |
| 9 |
Botev Vratsa
|
26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 |
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | +3 | 34 |
| 11 |
Botev Plovdiv
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 |
Dobrudzha
|
26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 |
Spartak Varna
|
27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -21 | 23 |
| 14 |
Septemvri Sofia
|
26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -31 | 21 |
| 15 |
Beroe
|
26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -22 | 19 |
| 16 |
Montana
A
|
26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | -27 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.