Persha Liga Persha Liga March 21, 2026
Chernihiv

Chernihiv

14
FT
Yarud Mariupol'

Yarud Mariupol'

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–4

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Chernihiv
Rank#11
Played17
Points19
PPG1.12
Goal Diff-4
D W W L D
Yarud Mariupol'
14#Rank
18Played
16Points
0.89PPG
-11Goal Diff
D L W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.1%
6.61
1-1
12.9%
7.73
0-0
11.8%
8.47
0-1
10.1%
9.9
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.41
NO 58% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Chernihiv 32% · 3.14
Draw 35% · 2.84
Yarud Mariupol' 33% · 3.04
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.78 Under 64% · 1.56
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59 Under 37% · 2.7
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 5.95 Under 83% · 1.2

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Chernihiv Chernihiv
D W W L D
Yarud Mariupol' Yarud Mariupol'
D L W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Chernihiv
Stat
Yarud Mariupol'
1.28
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#11
League Pos.
#14
19 pts
Points
16 pts
1.12
Points / Game
0.89
-4
Goal Diff.
-11

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
4 W
Chernihiv
Draw
Yarud Mariupol'
11 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bukovyna Bukovyna
19 16 3 0 +31 51
2
Chornomorets Chornomorets
19 12 5 2 +17 41
3
Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh
19 12 4 3 +19 40
4
Inhulets Inhulets
18 10 6 2 +18 36
5
Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ahrobiznes Volochysk
19 10 4 5 +4 34
6
Prykarpattia Prykarpattia
19 7 5 7 +3 26
7
Nyva Ternopil Nyva Ternopil
19 6 6 7 -4 24
8
UCSA UCSA
19 6 5 8 -3 23
9
Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava
18 5 6 7 -1 21
10
Yarud Mariupol' Yarud Mariupol' A
19 5 4 10 -8 19
11
Viktoriya Mykolaivka Viktoriya Mykolaivka
19 5 4 10 -6 19
12
Chernihiv Chernihiv H
18 5 4 9 -7 19
13
Metal Kharkiv Metal Kharkiv
17 4 4 9 -6 16
14
Probiy Horodenka Probiy Horodenka
18 4 4 10 -11 16
15
Podillya Khmelnytskyi Podillya Khmelnytskyi
18 3 5 10 -16 14
16
Metalurh Zaporizhya Metalurh Zaporizhya
18 1 5 12 -30 8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record