Premier League Premier League March 14, 2026
Chelsea

Chelsea

01
FT
Newcastle

Newcastle

We predicted

Chelsea 4+ 43% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Chelsea 4+
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Chelsea
Rank#5
Played29
Points48
PPG1.66
Goal Diff19
W L D D W
Newcastle
12#Rank
29Played
39Points
1.34PPG
-1Goal Diff
W L L W L
Most Likely Scores
Chelsea 4+
17.7%
2-0
10.4%
9.62
2-1
9.9%
10.09
1-0
9.4%
10.7
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.83
NO 45% · 2.21
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Chelsea 58% · 1.74
Draw 29% · 3.39
Newcastle 13% · 7.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63 Under 39% · 2.58
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.21 Under 18% · 5.69
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.58 Under 61% · 1.63

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Chelsea Chelsea
W L D D W
Newcastle Newcastle
W L L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Chelsea
Stat
Newcastle
2.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.95
#5
League Pos.
#12
48 pts
Points
39 pts
1.66
Points / Game
1.34
+19
Goal Diff.
-1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea H
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle A
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record