Premier League
April 12, 2026
Chelsea
15:30
VS
Manchester City
Predicted score
Chelsea 4+
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 12 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Chelsea
Rank#5
Played29
Points48
PPG1.66
Goal Diff19
W
L
D
D
W
Manchester City
2#Rank
29Played
60Points
2.07PPG
32Goal Diff
D
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Chelsea 4+
11.5%
1-1
10.0%
9.98
2-1
9.4%
10.59
1-0
7.4%
13.61
Both Teams To Score
YES
63% · 1.59
NO
37% · 2.71
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Chelsea
34% · 2.96
Draw
32% · 3.17
Manchester City
35% · 2.88
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59
Under 37% · 2.69
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2
Under 17% · 6.03
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.46
Under 59% · 1.68
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Chelsea
W
L
D
D
W
Manchester City
D
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Chelsea
Stat
Manchester City
1.88
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.36
#5
League Pos.
#2
48 pts
Points
60 pts
1.66
Points / Game
2.07
+19
Goal Diff.
+32
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
3 D
2 W
Chelsea
Draw
Manchester City
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 70 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
A
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 55 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
H
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 48 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Leeds
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -28 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.