Premier League Premier League February 21, 2026
Chelsea

Chelsea

11
FT
Burnley

Burnley

We predicted

Chelsea 4+ 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Chelsea 4+
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Chelsea
Rank#5
Played26
Points44
PPG1.69
Goal Diff17
D W W W W
Burnley
19#Rank
26Played
18Points
0.69PPG
-23Goal Diff
W L L D D
Most Likely Scores
Chelsea 4+
18.4%
2-0
11.9%
8.39
1-0
10.6%
9.47
2-1
9.7%
10.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.01
NO 50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Chelsea 70% · 1.43
Draw 18% · 5.52
Burnley 12% · 8.27
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.7 Under 41% · 2.43
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.24 Under 19% · 5.25
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.75 Under 64% · 1.57

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Chelsea Chelsea
D W W W W
Burnley Burnley
W L L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Chelsea
Stat
Burnley
2.26
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.81
#5
League Pos.
#19
44 pts
Points
18 pts
1.69
Points / Game
0.69
+17
Goal Diff.
-23

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
2 D
0 W
Chelsea
Draw
Burnley
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea H
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley A
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record