III Liga - Group 4
March 14, 2026
Chełmianka Chełm
4–1
FT
Stal Kraśnik
We predicted
Chełmianka Chełm 4+
40% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Chełmianka Chełm 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Chełmianka Chełm 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Chełmianka Chełm
Rank#3
Played21
Points42
PPG2.0
Goal Diff13
D
W
W
W
D
Stal Kraśnik
14#Rank
21Played
19Points
0.9PPG
-8Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
Chełmianka Chełm 4+
13.2%
1-1
9.9%
10.06
2-1
9.9%
10.15
1-0
8.4%
11.95
Both Teams To Score
YES
60% · 1.67
NO
40% · 2.49
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Chełmianka Chełm
51% · 1.95
Draw
31% · 3.22
Stal Kraśnik
18% · 5.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.64
Under 39% · 2.57
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.21
Under 18% · 5.68
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.58
Under 61% · 1.63
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Chełmianka Chełm
D
W
W
W
D
Stal Kraśnik
L
L
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Chełmianka Chełm
Stat
Stal Kraśnik
1.98
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.19
#3
League Pos.
#14
42 pts
Points
19 pts
2.0
Points / Game
0.9
+13
Goal Diff.
-8
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
1 W
Chełmianka Chełm
Draw
Stal Kraśnik
18
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.