First League First League March 29, 2026
Chayka

Chayka

21
FT
Chelyabinsk

Chelyabinsk

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 29 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Chayka
Rank#17
Played25
Points16
PPG0.64
Goal Diff-30
L D W L D
Chelyabinsk
6#Rank
25Played
37Points
1.48PPG
7Goal Diff
L D D W L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.9%
9.18
1-2
9.4%
10.59
Chelyabinsk 4+
9.3%
0-1
8.4%
11.89
Both Teams To Score
YES 60% · 1.67
NO 40% · 2.48
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Chayka 21% · 4.71
Draw 32% · 3.11
Chelyabinsk 47% · 2.15
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72 Under 42% · 2.39
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.24 Under 20% · 5.12
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.8 Under 64% · 1.56

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Chayka Chayka
L D W L D
Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk
L D D W L

Key Stats Comparison

Chayka
Stat
Chelyabinsk
1.29
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.73
#17
League Pos.
#6
16 pts
Points
37 pts
0.64
Points / Game
1.48
-30
Goal Diff.
+7

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Fakel Fakel
27 18 5 4 +21 59
2
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
27 14 10 3 +22 52
3
Ural Ural
27 14 6 7 +14 48
4
Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd
27 11 9 7 +13 42
5
Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma
27 10 11 6 +6 41
6
KAMAZ KAMAZ
27 9 12 6 +13 39
7
Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk A
27 9 11 7 +6 38
8
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
27 8 11 8 -1 35
9
Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula
27 8 11 8 +4 35
10
Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk
27 8 10 9 -6 34
11
Enisey Enisey
27 8 10 9 -8 34
12
Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva
26 9 6 11 -5 33
13
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
27 7 12 8 -1 33
14
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
27 8 7 12 -9 31
15
Chernomorets Chernomorets
27 7 8 12 -6 29
16
FC UFA FC UFA
26 6 8 12 -6 26
17
Chayka Chayka H
27 4 7 16 -34 19
18
FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov
27 2 10 15 -23 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record