Serie A
August 16, 2026
Chapecoense-sc
20:00
VS
Bahia
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, August 16 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Chapecoense-sc
Rank#9
Played3
Points5
PPG1.67
Goal Diff2
D
D
W
Bahia
4#Rank
3Played
7Points
2.33PPG
2Goal Diff
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.7%
8.58
1-0
9.7%
10.35
2-1
9.4%
10.68
2-0
7.8%
12.9
Both Teams To Score
YES
56% · 1.79
NO
44% · 2.27
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Chapecoense-sc
32% · 3.13
Draw
33% · 3.05
Bahia
35% · 2.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88
Under 47% · 2.14
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.36
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.23
Under 69% · 1.45
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Chapecoense-sc
D
D
W
Bahia
W
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Chapecoense-sc
Stat
Bahia
1.61
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.21
#9
League Pos.
#4
5 pts
Points
7 pts
1.67
Points / Game
2.33
+2
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Chapecoense-sc
Draw
Bahia
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sao Paulo
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Flamengo
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 6 |
Bahia
A
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Gremio
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +0 | 11 |
| 10 |
Vitoria
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Corinthians
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +0 | 10 |
| 12 |
Internacional
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |
Atletico-MG
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |
RB Bragantino
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |
Chapecoense-sc
H
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 |
Santos
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |
Botafogo
|
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Mirassol
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 |
remo
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 |
Cruzeiro
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.