Serie A
October 11, 2026
Chapecoense-sc
20:00
VS
Atletico Paranaense
Predicted score
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, October 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Chapecoense-sc
Rank#9
Played3
Points5
PPG1.67
Goal Diff2
D
D
W
Atletico Paranaense
6#Rank
4Played
7Points
1.75PPG
1Goal Diff
D
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.2%
8.2
1-1
11.9%
8.38
2-0
9.7%
10.32
2-1
9.5%
10.53
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 2.01
NO
50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Chapecoense-sc
35% · 2.86
Draw
33% · 3.02
Atletico Paranaense
32% · 3.13
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.11
Under 53% · 1.9
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.38
Under 27% · 3.65
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.9
Under 74% · 1.34
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Chapecoense-sc
D
D
W
Atletico Paranaense
D
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Chapecoense-sc
Stat
Atletico Paranaense
1.59
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#9
League Pos.
#6
5 pts
Points
7 pts
1.67
Points / Game
1.75
+2
Goal Diff.
+1
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
4 D
1 W
Chapecoense-sc
Draw
Atletico Paranaense
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Flamengo
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |
Atletico Paranaense
A
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |
Atletico-MG
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Botafogo
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Gremio
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 |
Santos
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Chapecoense-sc
H
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.