Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
March 28, 2026
Ceuta II
1–0
FT
Conil
We predicted
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 28 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Ceuta II
Rank#10
Played27
Points38
PPG1.41
Goal Diff-5
D
D
L
L
W
Conil
8#Rank
27Played
40Points
1.48PPG
-1Goal Diff
W
L
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.2%
7.59
1-1
12.6%
7.93
2-0
9.4%
10.66
0-0
9.3%
10.81
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.14
NO
53% · 1.88
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ceuta II
43% · 2.34
Draw
30% · 3.32
Conil
27% · 3.68
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.35
Under 57% · 1.74
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.46
Under 31% · 3.2
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.61
Under 78% · 1.28
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Ceuta II
D
D
L
L
W
Conil
W
L
W
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Ceuta II
Stat
Conil
1.42
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.96
#10
League Pos.
#8
38 pts
Points
40 pts
1.41
Points / Game
1.48
-5
Goal Diff.
-1
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
1 D
0 W
Ceuta II
Draw
Conil
6
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ciudad de Lucena
|
28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | +34 | 58 |
| 2 |
Dos Hermanas
|
28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | +25 | 52 |
| 3 |
Linense
|
28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | +18 | 48 |
| 4 |
Bollullos
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +11 | 48 |
| 5 |
Atlético Central
|
29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +5 | 47 |
| 6 |
Cádiz II
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +11 | 44 |
| 7 |
Ceuta II
H
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | -4 | 42 |
| 8 |
San Roque Lepe
|
28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | +5 | 41 |
| 9 |
Pozoblanco
|
28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |
Conil
A
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 |
Chiclana
|
29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -6 | 37 |
| 12 |
Sevilla III
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 |
Atlético Onubense
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 |
Córdoba II
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | -5 | 31 |
| 15 |
Utrera
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 |
Tomares
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -11 | 29 |
| 17 |
Castilleja
|
29 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -32 | 23 |
| 18 |
Coria CF
|
28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -29 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.