Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 March 15, 2026
Castro

Castro

22
FT
Bezana

Bezana

We predicted

1-0 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Castro
Rank#10
Played25
Points33
PPG1.32
Goal Diff2
D W L W L
Bezana
11#Rank
25Played
32Points
1.28PPG
-6Goal Diff
L L L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.3%
8.16
1-1
11.5%
8.7
2-0
10.3%
9.69
2-1
9.7%
10.33
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.02
NO 50% · 1.98
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Castro 51% · 1.96
Draw 33% · 3.08
Bezana 17% · 6.04
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.06 Under 51% · 1.95
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36 Under 26% · 3.8
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.73 Under 73% · 1.37

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Castro Castro
D W L W L
Bezana Bezana
L L L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Castro
Stat
Bezana
1.69
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.94
#10
League Pos.
#11
33 pts
Points
32 pts
1.32
Points / Game
1.28
+2
Goal Diff.
-6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record