Primeira Liga
May 3, 2026
Casa Pia
16:00
VS
Tondela
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Casa Pia
Rank#13
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-18
D
D
L
W
D
Tondela
17#Rank
25Played
19Points
0.76PPG
-20Goal Diff
L
D
W
D
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.3%
7.5
1-0
13.0%
7.68
0-1
11.3%
8.87
0-0
11.0%
9.08
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.25
NO
56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Casa Pia
42% · 2.4
Draw
35% · 2.83
Tondela
23% · 4.36
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64
Under 62% · 1.61
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.55
Under 35% · 2.83
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.5
Under 82% · 1.22
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Casa Pia
D
D
L
W
D
Tondela
L
D
W
D
D
Key Stats Comparison
Casa Pia
Stat
Tondela
1.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.02
#13
League Pos.
#17
24 pts
Points
19 pts
0.96
Points / Game
0.76
-18
Goal Diff.
-20
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
0 W
Casa Pia
Draw
Tondela
3
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
H
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
A
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.