Primeira Liga
April 23, 2026
Casa Pia
19:15
VS
SC Braga
Predicted score
SC Braga 4+
44% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, April 23 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
44%
Team Context
Casa Pia
Rank#13
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-18
D
D
L
W
D
SC Braga
4#Rank
25Played
46Points
1.84PPG
27Goal Diff
D
W
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
SC Braga 4+
17.3%
0-2
11.1%
8.98
0-1
10.1%
9.88
1-2
9.9%
10.13
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.92
NO
48% · 2.09
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Casa Pia
12% · 8.1
Draw
29% · 3.4
SC Braga
58% · 1.72
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.69
Under 41% · 2.46
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23
Under 19% · 5.32
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.72
Under 63% · 1.58
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Casa Pia
D
D
L
W
D
SC Braga
D
W
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Casa Pia
Stat
SC Braga
0.89
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.2
#13
League Pos.
#4
24 pts
Points
46 pts
0.96
Points / Game
1.84
-18
Goal Diff.
+27
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Casa Pia
Draw
SC Braga
21
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
A
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
H
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.