Primeira Liga
May 17, 2026
Casa Pia
16:00
VS
Rio Ave
Predicted score
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Casa Pia
Rank#13
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-18
D
D
L
W
D
Rio Ave
14#Rank
25Played
24Points
0.96PPG
-20Goal Diff
W
D
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.9%
7.22
1-1
12.5%
8.03
2-0
10.0%
9.96
0-0
9.6%
10.46
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.2
NO
55% · 1.83
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Casa Pia
44% · 2.28
Draw
30% · 3.33
Rio Ave
26% · 3.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.4
Under 58% · 1.71
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47
Under 32% · 3.12
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.76
Under 79% · 1.27
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Casa Pia
D
D
L
W
D
Rio Ave
W
D
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Casa Pia
Stat
Rio Ave
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.9
#13
League Pos.
#14
24 pts
Points
24 pts
0.96
Points / Game
0.96
-18
Goal Diff.
-20
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Casa Pia
Draw
Rio Ave
17
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
A
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
H
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.