Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 2, 2026
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

21
FT
FC Porto

FC Porto

We predicted

0-1 35% confidence
View full match details Monday, February 2 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Casa Pia
Rank#16
Played19
Points15
PPG0.79
Goal Diff-18
D L L D W
FC Porto
1#Rank
19Played
55Points
2.89PPG
36Goal Diff
W W W W W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
15.5%
6.44
0-2
14.6%
6.85
FC Porto 4+
11.9%
1-1
9.6%
10.44
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.57
NO 61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Casa Pia 11% · 8.73
Draw 21% · 4.76
FC Porto 68% · 1.48
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.21 Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.46
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.18 Under 76% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Casa Pia Casa Pia
D L L D W
FC Porto FC Porto
W W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Casa Pia
Stat
FC Porto
0.62
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.88
#16
League Pos.
#1
15 pts
Points
55 pts
0.79
Points / Game
2.89
-18
Goal Diff.
+36

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
4 W
Casa Pia
Draw
FC Porto
13 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto A
26 22 3 1 +42 69
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
25 19 5 1 +50 62
3
Benfica Benfica
26 18 8 0 +38 62
4
SC Braga SC Braga
25 13 7 5 +27 46
5
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
26 11 9 6 +12 42
6
Famalicao Famalicao
26 12 6 8 +10 42
7
Estoril Estoril
26 10 7 9 +5 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
26 10 5 11 -7 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
26 9 5 12 -10 32
10
Alverca Alverca
26 7 8 11 -15 29
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
26 6 9 11 -19 27
12
Arouca Arouca
26 7 5 14 -22 26
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
26 6 7 13 -8 25
14
Estrela Estrela
26 5 10 11 -16 25
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia H
25 5 9 11 -18 24
16
Nacional Nacional
26 5 7 14 -9 22
17
Tondela Tondela
25 4 7 14 -20 19
18
AVS AVS
26 1 7 18 -40 10

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record