Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 April 5, 2026
Carabanchel

Carabanchel

31
FT
AD Parla

AD Parla

We predicted

1-0 35% confidence
View full match details Sunday, April 5 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Carabanchel
Rank#16
Played28
Points28
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-6
D D L L W
AD Parla
17#Rank
28Played
26Points
0.93PPG
-24Goal Diff
D W L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.7%
7.32
1-1
13.2%
7.6
0-0
10.9%
9.2
0-1
10.5%
9.55
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.26
NO 56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Carabanchel 40% · 2.51
Draw 31% · 3.21
AD Parla 29% · 3.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.62 Under 62% · 1.62
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.54 Under 35% · 2.86
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.43 Under 82% · 1.23

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Carabanchel Carabanchel
D D L L W
AD Parla AD Parla
D W L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Carabanchel
Stat
AD Parla
1.26
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.96
#16
League Pos.
#17
28 pts
Points
26 pts
1.0
Points / Game
0.93
-6
Goal Diff.
-24

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
A Madrid III A Madrid III
29 15 9 5 +29 54
2
Las Rozas Las Rozas
29 15 8 6 +18 53
3
Leganés II Leganés II
29 14 8 7 +32 50
4
Móstoles Móstoles
29 14 7 8 +11 49
5
Torrejón Torrejón
29 14 7 8 +8 49
6
Trival Valderas Trival Valderas
29 14 5 10 +8 47
7
Unión Adarve Unión Adarve
29 11 8 10 -3 41
8
SS Reyes II SS Reyes II
29 9 12 8 +5 39
9
Alcobendas Sport Alcobendas Sport
29 11 6 12 -3 39
10
Villaverde-Boetticher Villaverde-Boetticher
29 9 12 8 -4 39
11
Galapagar Galapagar
29 9 12 8 -8 39
12
Pozuelo Alarcón Pozuelo Alarcón
29 9 11 9 +1 38
13
Alcorcón II Alcorcón II
29 9 9 11 -2 36
14
Carabanchel Carabanchel H
29 7 10 12 -4 31
15
Tres Cantos Tres Cantos
29 9 3 17 -20 30
16
Villanueva Pardillo Villanueva Pardillo
29 8 5 16 -14 29
17
AD Parla AD Parla A
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Racing Madrid Racing Madrid
29 5 7 17 -28 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record