Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 March 15, 2026
Calvo Sotelo

Calvo Sotelo

20
FT
Tarancón

Tarancón

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Calvo Sotelo
Rank#3
Played25
Points52
PPG2.08
Goal Diff21
D W W L W
Tarancón
2#Rank
25Played
52Points
2.08PPG
26Goal Diff
D D W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.9%
6.7
1-1
13.1%
7.64
0-0
12.0%
8.32
0-1
10.5%
9.49
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.41
NO 58% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Calvo Sotelo 31% · 3.24
Draw 35% · 2.82
Tarancón 34% · 2.97
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.81 Under 64% · 1.55
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.6 Under 37% · 2.67
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.07 Under 84% · 1.2

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Calvo Sotelo Calvo Sotelo
D W W L W
Tarancón Tarancón
D D W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Calvo Sotelo
Stat
Tarancón
1.24
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.88
#3
League Pos.
#2
52 pts
Points
52 pts
2.08
Points / Game
2.08
+21
Goal Diff.
+26

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
3 D
1 W
Calvo Sotelo
Draw
Tarancón
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Toledo Toledo
26 16 8 2 +32 56
2
Calvo Sotelo Calvo Sotelo H
26 16 7 3 +23 55
3
Tarancón Tarancón A
26 15 7 4 +24 52
4
Albacete II Albacete II
26 14 9 3 +24 51
5
Manchego Manchego
26 15 4 7 +20 49
6
Villarrubia Villarrubia
26 12 6 8 +8 42
7
Villacañas Villacañas
26 11 8 7 +10 41
8
San Clemente San Clemente
26 10 9 7 -1 39
9
Guadalajara II Guadalajara II
26 9 7 10 -1 34
10
Huracán Balazote Huracán Balazote
26 9 3 14 -11 30
11
Villarrobledo Villarrobledo
26 7 9 10 -9 30
12
Marchamalo Marchamalo
26 8 6 12 -1 30
13
La Solana La Solana
26 6 10 10 -7 28
14
Illescas Illescas
26 6 9 11 -11 27
15
Azuqueca Azuqueca
26 4 10 12 -12 22
16
Pedroñeras Pedroñeras
26 3 11 12 -17 20
17
Cazalegas Cazalegas
26 3 6 17 -35 15
18
Sonseca Sonseca
26 2 7 17 -36 13

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record