Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 March 29, 2026
Cacereño

Cacereño

12
FT
Lugo

Lugo

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 29 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Cacereño
Rank#18
Played29
Points30
PPG1.03
Goal Diff-11
D D L D L
Lugo
10#Rank
29Played
42Points
1.45PPG
0Goal Diff
D L D W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.7%
7.32
1-1
13.3%
7.53
0-0
11.3%
8.82
0-1
11.0%
9.07
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.3
NO 56% · 1.77
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Cacereño 29% · 3.47
Draw 35% · 2.82
Lugo 36% · 2.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.7 Under 63% · 1.59
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56 Under 36% · 2.78
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.69 Under 82% · 1.21

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Cacereño Cacereño
D D L D L
Lugo Lugo
D L D W D

Key Stats Comparison

Cacereño
Stat
Lugo
1.21
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.97
#18
League Pos.
#10
30 pts
Points
42 pts
1.03
Points / Game
1.45
-11
Goal Diff.
+0

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
2 W
Cacereño
Draw
Lugo
4 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Tenerife Tenerife
31 19 8 4 +33 65
2
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
31 15 9 7 +5 54
3
Ponferradina Ponferradina
31 13 8 10 +10 47
4
Barakaldo Barakaldo
31 12 11 8 +8 47
5
Pontevedra Pontevedra
30 11 13 6 +13 46
6
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
31 13 7 11 +5 46
7
Zamora Zamora
31 12 10 9 +5 46
8
Lugo Lugo A
31 11 12 8 +0 45
9
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca
31 12 8 11 +2 44
10
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
31 12 8 11 -2 44
11
Mérida AD Mérida AD
31 12 8 11 -3 44
12
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo
30 12 5 13 -5 41
14
Real Avilés Real Avilés
31 10 7 14 -8 37
15
CF Talavera CF Talavera
31 9 8 14 -8 35
16
Guadalajara Guadalajara
31 9 8 14 -11 35
17
Ourense CF Ourense CF
31 8 10 13 -3 34
18
Cacereño Cacereño H
31 6 13 12 -12 31
19
Osasuna II Osasuna II
31 7 9 15 -14 30
20
Arenteiro Arenteiro
31 6 8 17 -14 26

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record