Liga de Expansión MX
March 21, 2026
CA La Paz
4–0
FT
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
We predicted
CA La Paz 4+
40% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
CA La Paz 4+
|
Actual
4–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — CA La Paz 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
CA La Paz
Rank#10
Played14
Points17
PPG1.21
Goal Diff-5
L
W
D
L
D
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
13#Rank
14Played
13Points
0.93PPG
-9Goal Diff
D
L
D
W
D
Most Likely Scores
CA La Paz 4+
18.3%
2-1
9.8%
10.26
1-1
8.6%
11.61
2-0
8.3%
12.06
Both Teams To Score
YES
62% · 1.62
NO
38% · 2.62
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
CA La Paz
55% · 1.82
Draw
30% · 3.36
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
15% · 6.54
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5
Under 33% · 2.99
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.17
Under 14% · 6.97
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.24
Under 55% · 1.8
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
CA La Paz
L
W
D
L
D
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
D
L
D
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
CA La Paz
Stat
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2.27
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.18
#10
League Pos.
#13
17 pts
Points
13 pts
1.21
Points / Game
0.93
-5
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
CA La Paz
Draw
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlante FC
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +25 | 30 |
| 2 |
Cancún
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +18 | 30 |
| 3 |
CDS Tampico Madero
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | +9 | 30 |
| 4 |
Irapuato
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Leones Negros UDG
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 |
Monarcas
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |
Tepatitlán
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 |
Venados FC
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 |
CA La Paz
H
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 17 |
| 11 |
Tapatío
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 15 |
| 12 |
Tlaxcala
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 13 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
A
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 |
Correcaminos Uat
|
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -19 | 10 |
| 15 |
Dorados
|
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.