League One League One April 3, 2026
Burton Albion

Burton Albion

11
FT
Barnsley

Barnsley

We predicted

Burton Albion 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Burton Albion 4+
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Burton Albion
Rank#18
Played40
Points46
PPG1.15
Goal Diff-11
L W L W L
Barnsley
13#Rank
37Played
50Points
1.35PPG
-1Goal Diff
L D D D W
Most Likely Scores
Burton Albion 4+
14.8%
2-1
10.0%
10.02
1-1
9.7%
10.35
2-0
9.3%
10.71
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.75
NO 43% · 2.34
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Burton Albion 40% · 2.5
Draw 31% · 3.28
Barnsley 29% · 3.4
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.53
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.52
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64 Under 62% · 1.61

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Burton Albion Burton Albion
L W L W L
Barnsley Barnsley
L D D D W

Key Stats Comparison

Burton Albion
Stat
Barnsley
2.07
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#18
League Pos.
#13
46 pts
Points
50 pts
1.15
Points / Game
1.35
-11
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
2 D
3 W
Burton Albion
Draw
Barnsley
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lincoln Lincoln
40 26 9 5 +41 87
2
Cardiff Cardiff
39 23 8 8 +32 77
3
Bolton Bolton
40 18 15 7 +17 69
4
Bradford Bradford
40 20 8 12 +6 68
5
Stockport County Stockport County
39 19 9 11 +9 66
6
Reading Reading
41 16 14 11 +9 62
7
Stevenage Stevenage
39 17 10 12 +3 61
8
Wycombe Wycombe
41 16 11 14 +13 59
9
Plymouth Plymouth
40 18 5 17 +5 59
10
Huddersfield Huddersfield
40 16 10 14 +8 58
11
Luton Luton
40 16 10 14 +4 58
12
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
38 13 13 12 +8 52
13
Barnsley Barnsley A
38 13 12 13 -1 51
14
Peterborough Peterborough
39 15 5 19 +4 50
15
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
40 14 8 18 -7 50
16
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
40 14 8 18 -10 50
17
Doncaster Doncaster
40 14 8 18 -19 50
18
Blackpool Blackpool
41 13 9 19 -15 48
19
Burton Albion Burton Albion H
41 12 11 18 -11 47
20
Wigan Wigan
40 11 13 16 -13 46
21
Exeter City Exeter City
41 11 10 20 -11 43
22
Rotherham Rotherham
39 9 10 20 -23 37
23
Northampton Northampton
40 9 8 23 -24 35
24
Port Vale Port Vale
38 7 10 21 -25 31

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record