Premier League
April 26, 2026
Burnley
13:00
VS
Manchester City
Predicted score
Manchester City 4+
49% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 26 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
49%
Team Context
Burnley
Rank#19
Played29
Points19
PPG0.66
Goal Diff-26
L
L
D
W
L
Manchester City
2#Rank
29Played
60Points
2.07PPG
32Goal Diff
D
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Manchester City 4+
19.6%
0-2
11.5%
8.72
0-1
9.9%
10.13
1-2
9.7%
10.32
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.95
NO
49% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Burnley
7% · 13.79
Draw
31% · 3.27
Manchester City
62% · 1.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.64
Under 39% · 2.56
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22
Under 18% · 5.65
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.6
Under 62% · 1.62
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Burnley
L
L
D
W
L
Manchester City
D
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Burnley
Stat
Manchester City
0.84
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.32
#19
League Pos.
#2
19 pts
Points
60 pts
0.66
Points / Game
2.07
-26
Goal Diff.
+32
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
0 D
5 W
Burnley
Draw
Manchester City
17
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 70 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
A
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 55 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 48 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Leeds
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Burnley
H
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -28 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.