Premier League
April 11, 2026
Burnley
14:00
VS
Brighton
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Burnley
Rank#19
Played29
Points19
PPG0.66
Goal Diff-26
L
L
D
W
L
Brighton
14#Rank
29Played
37Points
1.28PPG
2Goal Diff
L
W
W
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.8%
7.79
0-1
12.2%
8.18
1-0
9.5%
10.58
0-0
9.0%
11.11
Both Teams To Score
YES
48% · 2.07
NO
52% · 1.93
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Burnley
21% · 4.68
Draw
34% · 2.91
Brighton
44% · 2.26
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.31
Under 57% · 1.76
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44
Under 31% · 3.26
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.49
Under 78% · 1.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Burnley
L
L
D
W
L
Brighton
L
W
W
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Burnley
Stat
Brighton
1.05
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.36
#19
League Pos.
#14
19 pts
Points
37 pts
0.66
Points / Game
1.28
-26
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Burnley
Draw
Brighton
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 70 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 55 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 48 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Brighton
A
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Leeds
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Burnley
H
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -28 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.