Premier League
May 9, 2026
Burnley
14:00
VS
Aston Villa
Predicted score
1-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 9 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Burnley
Rank#19
Played29
Points19
PPG0.66
Goal Diff-26
L
L
D
W
L
Aston Villa
4#Rank
29Played
51Points
1.76PPG
5Goal Diff
L
L
D
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.31
0-1
10.4%
9.6
1-2
9.3%
10.79
0-2
8.0%
12.45
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.86
NO
46% · 2.16
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Burnley
21% · 4.74
Draw
33% · 3.01
Aston Villa
46% · 2.19
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.98
Under 50% · 2.02
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33
Under 25% · 4.0
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.52
Under 72% · 1.4
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Burnley
L
L
D
W
L
Aston Villa
L
L
D
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Burnley
Stat
Aston Villa
1.15
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.54
#19
League Pos.
#4
19 pts
Points
51 pts
0.66
Points / Game
1.76
-26
Goal Diff.
+5
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
4 W
Burnley
Draw
Aston Villa
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 70 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 55 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
A
|
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 48 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Leeds
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Burnley
H
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -28 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.