Segunda División Segunda División April 1, 2026
Burgos

Burgos

11
FT
AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC

We predicted

Burgos 4+ 43% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, April 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Burgos 4+
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Burgos
Rank#5
Played32
Points53
PPG1.66
Goal Diff11
W W D W W
AD Ceuta FC
9#Rank
32Played
47Points
1.47PPG
-10Goal Diff
W L L L W
Most Likely Scores
Burgos 4+
19.2%
2-0
14.6%
6.86
1-0
12.7%
7.87
3-0
11.2%
8.97
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.44
NO 59% · 1.69
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Burgos 63% · 1.58
Draw 28% · 3.59
AD Ceuta FC 9% · 11.16
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.82 Under 45% · 2.23
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28 Under 22% · 4.63
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.08 Under 68% · 1.48

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Burgos Burgos
W W D W W
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
W L L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Burgos
Stat
AD Ceuta FC
2.29
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.61
#5
League Pos.
#9
53 pts
Points
47 pts
1.66
Points / Game
1.47
+11
Goal Diff.
-10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
0 W
Burgos
Draw
AD Ceuta FC
2 total goals
1 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Racing Santander Racing Santander
34 19 5 10 +14 62
2
Almeria Almeria
34 18 7 9 +19 61
3
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
34 17 9 8 +15 60
4
Las Palmas Las Palmas
34 15 12 7 +17 57
5
Malaga Malaga
34 16 9 9 +15 57
6
Burgos Burgos H
34 16 9 9 +12 57
7
Castellón Castellón
33 15 9 9 +14 54
8
Eibar Eibar
34 15 9 10 +9 54
9
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC A
34 14 6 14 -13 48
10
FC Andorra FC Andorra
34 12 10 12 +3 46
11
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
33 13 7 13 +1 46
12
Cordoba Cordoba
34 12 9 13 -6 45
13
Albacete Albacete
34 11 11 12 -2 44
14
Granada CF Granada CF
33 10 12 11 +3 42
15
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
33 11 7 15 -4 40
16
Leganes Leganes
34 9 12 13 +1 39
17
Valladolid Valladolid
34 10 9 15 -8 39
18
Cadiz Cadiz
34 10 8 16 -14 38
19
Zaragoza Zaragoza
34 8 10 16 -15 34
20
Huesca Huesca
34 8 8 18 -18 32
21
Mirandes Mirandes
34 8 8 18 -19 32
22
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
34 8 8 18 -24 32

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record