Championship
May 2, 2026
Bristol City
11:30
VS
Stoke City
Predicted score
1-0
39% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 2 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Bristol City
Rank#10
Played36
Points50
PPG1.39
Goal Diff2
L
L
W
L
D
Stoke City
15#Rank
36Played
47Points
1.31PPG
3Goal Diff
L
L
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.4%
6.1
1-1
12.7%
7.9
0-0
12.7%
7.91
2-0
10.6%
9.42
Both Teams To Score
YES
39% · 2.56
NO
61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Bristol City
33% · 3.0
Draw
35% · 2.83
Stoke City
31% · 3.19
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.93
Under 66% · 1.52
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63
Under 39% · 2.58
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.45
Under 84% · 1.18
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Bristol City
L
L
W
L
D
Stoke City
L
L
W
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Bristol City
Stat
Stoke City
1.3
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.77
#10
League Pos.
#15
50 pts
Points
47 pts
1.39
Points / Game
1.31
+2
Goal Diff.
+3
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Bristol City
Draw
Stoke City
21
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | +41 | 80 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | +22 | 71 |
| 3 |
Ipswich
|
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +28 | 69 |
| 4 |
Millwall
|
39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | +9 | 69 |
| 5 |
Hull City
|
39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | +5 | 66 |
| 6 |
Southampton
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +15 | 63 |
| 7 |
Wrexham
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +9 | 63 |
| 8 |
Derby
|
39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | +8 | 60 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | +4 | 56 |
| 10 |
Norwich
|
39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | +6 | 54 |
| 11 |
Birmingham
|
39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 |
QPR
|
39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 |
Preston
|
39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 |
Swansea
|
39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 |
Stoke City
A
|
39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | +3 | 51 |
| 16 |
Bristol City
H
|
39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd
|
39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | +0 | 50 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
|
38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 |
Leicester
|
39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 |
Oxford United
|
39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | -55 | -6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.