A-League
March 21, 2026
Brisbane Roar
04:00
VS
Wellington Phoenix
Predicted score
Brisbane Roar 4+
34% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
Brisbane Roar
Rank#9
Played21
Points24
PPG1.14
Goal Diff-6
D
D
L
D
L
Wellington Phoenix
10#Rank
21Played
24Points
1.14PPG
-9Goal Diff
W
D
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
Brisbane Roar 4+
11.3%
1-1
10.0%
9.99
2-1
9.4%
10.7
1-0
7.2%
13.93
Both Teams To Score
YES
64% · 1.57
NO
36% · 2.74
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Brisbane Roar
33% · 3.02
Draw
32% · 3.17
Wellington Phoenix
35% · 2.83
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.58
Under 37% · 2.72
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.2
Under 16% · 6.11
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.44
Under 59% · 1.69
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Brisbane Roar
D
D
L
D
L
Wellington Phoenix
W
D
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Brisbane Roar
Stat
Wellington Phoenix
1.87
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.39
#9
League Pos.
#10
24 pts
Points
24 pts
1.14
Points / Game
1.14
-6
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Brisbane Roar
Draw
Wellington Phoenix
10
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Newcastle Jets
|
21 | 13 | 1 | 7 | +12 | 40 |
| 2 |
Auckland
|
21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | +15 | 39 |
| 3 |
Adelaide United
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +7 | 35 |
| 4 |
Sydney
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +7 | 33 |
| 5 |
Melbourne Victory
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +7 | 32 |
| 6 |
Central Coast Mariners
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | +0 | 27 |
| 7 |
Melbourne City
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 |
Macarthur
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 25 |
| 9 |
Brisbane Roar
H
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -6 | 24 |
| 10 |
Wellington Phoenix
A
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -9 | 24 |
| 11 |
Perth Glory
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -10 | 22 |
| 12 |
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.