Premier League
April 26, 2026
Brighton
15:30
VS
Chelsea
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 26 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Brighton
Rank#14
Played29
Points37
PPG1.28
Goal Diff2
L
W
W
L
L
Chelsea
5#Rank
29Played
48Points
1.66PPG
19Goal Diff
W
L
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.3%
8.1
0-1
11.3%
8.83
1-2
9.2%
10.92
0-2
8.4%
11.89
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.95
NO
49% · 2.05
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Brighton
31% · 3.26
Draw
30% · 3.38
Chelsea
40% · 2.52
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.11
Under 53% · 1.9
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37
Under 27% · 3.67
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.88
Under 74% · 1.35
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Brighton
L
W
W
L
L
Chelsea
W
L
D
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Brighton
Stat
Chelsea
1.09
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.48
#14
League Pos.
#5
37 pts
Points
48 pts
1.28
Points / Game
1.66
+2
Goal Diff.
+19
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Brighton
Draw
Chelsea
21
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 70 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 55 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
A
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 48 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Brighton
H
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Leeds
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -28 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.