Premier League Premier League May 17, 2026
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

14:00
VS
Manchester City

Manchester City

Predicted score

1-1 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, May 17 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Bournemouth
Rank#9
Played29
Points40
PPG1.38
Goal Diff-2
D D D W D
Manchester City
2#Rank
29Played
60Points
2.07PPG
32Goal Diff
D W W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.2%
8.9
1-2
9.1%
11.03
0-1
8.3%
12.12
Manchester City 4+
7.7%
Both Teams To Score
YES 60% · 1.68
NO 40% · 2.47
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Bournemouth 23% · 4.28
Draw 33% · 3.07
Manchester City 44% · 2.27
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.75 Under 43% · 2.33
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.26 Under 20% · 4.92
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.89 Under 65% · 1.53

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Bournemouth Bournemouth
D D D W D
Manchester City Manchester City
D W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Bournemouth
Stat
Manchester City
1.36
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.62
#9
League Pos.
#2
40 pts
Points
60 pts
1.38
Points / Game
2.07
-2
Goal Diff.
+32

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City A
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth H
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record