Bundesliga Bundesliga March 21, 2026
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

32
FT
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

We predicted

Borussia Dortmund 4+ 42% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Borussia Dortmund 4+
|
Actual 3–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
Borussia Dortmund
Rank#2
Played25
Points55
PPG2.2
Goal Diff27
W L D W W
Hamburger SV
10#Rank
25Played
29Points
1.16PPG
-8Goal Diff
W L L D W
Most Likely Scores
Borussia Dortmund 4+
16.6%
2-0
14.0%
7.17
1-0
13.0%
7.72
3-0
10.0%
9.98
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.33
NO 57% · 1.75
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Borussia Dortmund 61% · 1.64
Draw 29% · 3.46
Hamburger SV 10% · 9.89
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88 Under 47% · 2.14
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3 Under 23% · 4.36
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.25 Under 69% · 1.44

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
W L D W W
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
W L L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Borussia Dortmund
Stat
Hamburger SV
2.15
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.66
#2
League Pos.
#10
55 pts
Points
29 pts
2.2
Points / Game
1.16
+27
Goal Diff.
-8

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
27 22 4 1 +72 70
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund H
27 18 7 2 +30 61
3
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
27 16 5 6 +20 53
4
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
27 15 5 7 +18 50
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
27 15 5 7 +15 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
27 13 7 7 +16 46
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
27 10 8 9 -1 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
27 10 7 10 -5 37
9
Union Berlin Union Berlin
27 8 7 12 -15 31
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
27 9 4 14 -17 31
11
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
27 7 9 11 -9 30
12
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV A
27 7 9 11 -9 30
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
27 7 8 12 -13 29
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
27 7 7 13 -17 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
27 6 8 13 -9 26
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
27 6 6 15 -20 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
27 5 6 16 -22 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
27 3 6 18 -34 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record