Bundesliga Bundesliga February 13, 2026
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

40
FT
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

We predicted

Borussia Dortmund 4+ 48% confidence
View full match details Friday, February 13 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Borussia Dortmund 4+
|
Actual 4–0

Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Borussia Dortmund 4+ goals was spot on.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 48%
Team Context
Borussia Dortmund
Rank#2
Played21
Points48
PPG2.29
Goal Diff23
W W W W W
FSV Mainz 05
14#Rank
21Played
21Points
1.0PPG
-8Goal Diff
W W W L W
Most Likely Scores
Borussia Dortmund 4+
27.0%
2-0
9.3%
10.76
2-1
9.2%
10.89
3-0
8.4%
11.92
Both Teams To Score
YES 59% · 1.71
NO 41% · 2.41
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Borussia Dortmund 73% · 1.37
Draw 15% · 6.48
FSV Mainz 05 11% · 8.72
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.43
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
88%
Over 88% · 1.13 Under 12% · 8.41
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.02 Under 51% · 1.98

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
W W W W W
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
W W W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Borussia Dortmund
Stat
FSV Mainz 05
2.71
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.99
#2
League Pos.
#14
48 pts
Points
21 pts
2.29
Points / Game
1.0
+23
Goal Diff.
-8

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
27 22 4 1 +72 70
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund H
27 18 7 2 +30 61
3
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
27 16 5 6 +20 53
4
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
27 15 5 7 +18 50
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
27 15 5 7 +15 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
27 13 7 7 +16 46
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
27 10 8 9 -1 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
27 10 7 10 -5 37
9
Union Berlin Union Berlin
27 8 7 12 -15 31
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
27 9 4 14 -17 31
11
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 A
27 7 9 11 -9 30
12
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
27 7 9 11 -9 30
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
27 7 8 12 -13 29
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
27 7 7 13 -17 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
27 6 8 13 -9 26
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
27 6 6 15 -20 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
27 5 6 16 -22 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
27 3 6 18 -34 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record