Bundesliga Bundesliga February 28, 2026
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

23
FT
Bayern München

Bayern München

We predicted

Bayern München 4+ 26% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Bayern München 4+
|
Actual 2–3

We predicted the correct result direction (away), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
Borussia Dortmund
Rank#2
Played23
Points52
PPG2.26
Goal Diff27
D W W W W
Bayern München
1#Rank
23Played
60Points
2.61PPG
64Goal Diff
W W W D L
Most Likely Scores
Bayern München 4+
11.7%
Borussia Dortmund 4+
11.0%
1-1
8.0%
12.52
1-2
7.8%
12.89
Both Teams To Score
YES 73% · 1.38
NO 27% · 3.66
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Borussia Dortmund 38% · 2.6
Draw 21% · 4.69
Bayern München 40% · 2.48
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36 Under 26% · 3.78
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
89%
Over 89% · 1.12 Under 11% · 9.51
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88 Under 47% · 2.13

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
D W W W W
Bayern München Bayern München
W W W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Borussia Dortmund
Stat
Bayern München
1.89
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.94
#2
League Pos.
#1
52 pts
Points
60 pts
2.26
Points / Game
2.61
+27
Goal Diff.
+64

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München A
27 22 4 1 +72 70
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund H
27 18 7 2 +30 61
3
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
27 16 5 6 +20 53
4
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
27 15 5 7 +18 50
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
27 15 5 7 +15 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
27 13 7 7 +16 46
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
27 10 8 9 -1 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
27 10 7 10 -5 37
9
Union Berlin Union Berlin
27 8 7 12 -15 31
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
27 9 4 14 -17 31
11
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
27 7 9 11 -9 30
12
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
27 7 9 11 -9 30
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
27 7 8 12 -13 29
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
27 7 7 13 -17 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
27 6 8 13 -9 26
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
27 6 6 15 -20 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
27 5 6 16 -22 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
27 3 6 18 -34 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record