UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League February 17, 2026
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

20
FT
Atalanta

Atalanta

We predicted

1-0 24% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, February 17 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 24%
Team Context
Borussia Dortmund
Rank#17
Played8
Points11
PPG1.38
Goal Diff2
L L D W L
Atalanta
15#Rank
8Played
13Points
1.63PPG
0Goal Diff
L L W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
11.6%
8.66
1-1
11.4%
8.76
2-0
9.9%
10.15
2-1
9.7%
10.27
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.95
NO 49% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Borussia Dortmund 54% · 1.85
Draw 24% · 4.16
Atalanta 22% · 4.57
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.98 Under 50% · 2.02
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33 Under 25% · 4.0
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.53 Under 72% · 1.4

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
L L D W L
Atalanta Atalanta
L L W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Borussia Dortmund
Stat
Atalanta
1.71
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.99
#17
League Pos.
#15
11 pts
Points
13 pts
1.38
Points / Game
1.63
+2
Goal Diff.
+0

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record