Thai League 1 Thai League 1 March 22, 2026
BG Pathum United

BG Pathum United

22
FT
Ratchaburi

Ratchaburi

We predicted

BG Pathum United 4+ 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted BG Pathum United 4+
|
Actual 2–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
BG Pathum United
Rank#5
Played24
Points40
PPG1.67
Goal Diff10
D L W W L
Ratchaburi
3#Rank
22Played
42Points
1.91PPG
15Goal Diff
L W D W L
Most Likely Scores
BG Pathum United 4+
11.6%
1-1
9.6%
10.41
2-1
9.1%
11.0
1-2
7.2%
13.95
Both Teams To Score
YES 66% · 1.52
NO 34% · 2.92
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
BG Pathum United 42% · 2.4
Draw 27% · 3.74
Ratchaburi 32% · 3.16
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52 Under 34% · 2.91
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
85%
Over 85% · 1.18 Under 15% · 6.71
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.29 Under 56% · 1.77

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

BG Pathum United BG Pathum United
D L W W L
Ratchaburi Ratchaburi
L W D W L

Key Stats Comparison

BG Pathum United
Stat
Ratchaburi
1.89
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.49
#5
League Pos.
#3
40 pts
Points
42 pts
1.67
Points / Game
1.91
+10
Goal Diff.
+15

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Buriram United Buriram United
25 20 3 2 +46 63
2
Port FC Port FC
26 15 5 6 +30 50
3
Bangkok United Bangkok United
24 12 9 3 +14 45
4
Ratchaburi Ratchaburi A
24 13 5 6 +15 44
5
BG Pathum United BG Pathum United H
26 12 8 6 +12 44
6
Prachuap Prachuap
26 8 12 6 -1 36
7
Rayong FC Rayong FC
24 8 8 8 +3 32
8
Ayutthaya FC Ayutthaya FC
25 8 8 9 -4 32
9
Chonburi FC Chonburi FC
25 8 7 10 -5 31
10
Chiangrai United Chiangrai United
24 6 11 7 -4 29
11
Uthai Thani Uthai Thani
24 6 8 10 -4 26
12
Sukhothai FC Sukhothai FC
26 5 9 12 -20 24
13
Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior
25 3 14 8 -13 23
14
Kanchanaburi Kanchanaburi
27 4 10 13 -22 22
15
Muangthong United Muangthong United
25 4 6 15 -24 18
16
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Nakhon Ratchasima FC
24 4 5 15 -23 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record