Virsliga Virsliga April 3, 2026
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

20
FT
FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja

We predicted

BFC Daugavpils 4+ 36% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted BFC Daugavpils 4+
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
BFC Daugavpils
Rank#4
Played36
Points48
PPG1.33
Goal Diff-10
L L D D W
FK Liepaja
3#Rank
36Played
61Points
1.69PPG
4Goal Diff
L W D W L
Most Likely Scores
BFC Daugavpils 4+
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
11.42
1-1
8.7%
11.45
2-2
7.1%
14.16
Both Teams To Score
YES 69% · 1.44
NO 31% · 3.25
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
BFC Daugavpils 32% · 3.1
Draw 31% · 3.23
FK Liepaja 37% · 2.72
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43 Under 30% · 3.32
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
88%
Over 88% · 1.14 Under 12% · 8.03
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.06 Under 51% · 1.94

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
L L D D W
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
L W D W L

Key Stats Comparison

BFC Daugavpils
Stat
FK Liepaja
2.01
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.61
#4
League Pos.
#3
48 pts
Points
61 pts
1.33
Points / Game
1.69
-10
Goal Diff.
+4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
3 W
BFC Daugavpils
Draw
FK Liepaja
13 total goals
5 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record