1st Division 1st Division March 14, 2026
Besa Kavajë

Besa Kavajë

23
FT
Pogradeci

Pogradeci

We predicted

1-1 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Besa Kavajë
Rank#7
Played25
Points31
PPG1.24
Goal Diff1
W W L L D
Pogradeci
3#Rank
24Played
49Points
2.04PPG
20Goal Diff
W W W W D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.86
1-0
11.1%
9.03
0-1
9.4%
10.7
2-1
8.6%
11.56
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.97
NO 49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Besa Kavajë 29% · 3.45
Draw 34% · 2.94
Pogradeci 37% · 2.71
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.18 Under 54% · 1.85
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4 Under 29% · 3.5
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.1 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Besa Kavajë Besa Kavajë
W W L L D
Pogradeci Pogradeci
W W W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Besa Kavajë
Stat
Pogradeci
1.36
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.15
#7
League Pos.
#3
31 pts
Points
49 pts
1.24
Points / Game
2.04
+1
Goal Diff.
+20

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Skenderbeu Korce Skenderbeu Korce
26 20 3 3 +26 63
2
Laci Laci
26 18 6 2 +28 60
3
Pogradeci Pogradeci A
26 16 7 3 +23 55
4
Iliria Fushë-Krujë Iliria Fushë-Krujë
26 9 10 7 +0 37
5
Burreli Burreli
26 8 9 9 -8 33
6
Kastrioti Krujë Kastrioti Krujë
26 9 6 11 -7 33
7
Besa Kavajë Besa Kavajë H
26 8 7 11 +0 31
8
Korabi Peshkopi Korabi Peshkopi
26 7 7 12 -8 28
9
Apolonia Fier Apolonia Fier
26 6 6 14 -9 24
10
Luftëtari Luftëtari
26 3 12 11 -11 21
11
Lushnja Lushnja
26 4 9 12 -12 21
12
FK Kukesi FK Kukesi
26 4 6 16 -20 18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record