UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League January 28, 2026
Benfica

Benfica

42
FT
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

We predicted

1-1 25% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, January 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 4–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 25%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.7%
9.33
1-2
8.6%
11.59
2-1
8.2%
12.27
Real Madrid 4+
7.5%
Both Teams To Score
YES 63% · 1.6
NO 37% · 2.67
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Benfica 36% · 2.76
Draw 24% · 4.21
Real Madrid 40% · 2.5
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.65 Under 40% · 2.53
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.53
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.63 Under 62% · 1.61

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Benfica
Stat
Real Madrid
1.52
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.61

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
2 W
Benfica
Draw
Real Madrid
10 total goals
3 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
8 8 0 0 +19 24
2
Bayern München Bayern München
8 7 0 1 +14 21
3
Liverpool Liverpool
8 6 0 2 +12 18
4
Tottenham Tottenham
8 5 2 1 +10 17
5
Barcelona Barcelona
8 5 1 2 +8 16
6
Chelsea Chelsea
8 5 1 2 +7 16
7
Sporting CP Sporting CP
8 5 1 2 +6 16
8
Manchester City Manchester City
8 5 1 2 +6 16
9
Real Madrid Real Madrid A
8 5 0 3 +9 15
10
Inter Inter
8 5 0 3 +8 15
11
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
8 4 2 2 +10 14
12
Newcastle Newcastle
8 4 2 2 +10 14
13
Juventus Juventus
8 3 4 1 +4 13
14
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
8 4 1 3 +2 13
15
Atalanta Atalanta
8 4 1 3 +0 13
16
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
8 3 3 2 -1 12
17
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
8 3 2 3 +2 11
18
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
8 3 2 3 -4 11
19
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
8 3 1 4 -2 10
20
Galatasaray Galatasaray
8 3 1 4 -2 10
21
Monaco Monaco
8 2 4 2 -6 10
22
Qarabag Qarabag
8 3 1 4 -8 10
23
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
8 2 3 3 -1 9
24
Benfica Benfica H
8 3 0 5 -2 9
25
Marseille Marseille
8 3 0 5 -3 9
26
Pafos Pafos
8 2 3 3 -3 9
27
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
8 3 0 5 -9 9
28
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
8 2 2 4 +0 8
29
Athletic Club Athletic Club
8 2 2 4 -5 8
30
Napoli Napoli
8 2 2 4 -6 8
31
FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
8 2 2 4 -9 8
32
Ajax Ajax
8 2 0 6 -13 6
33
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
8 1 1 6 -11 4
34
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
8 0 3 5 -14 3
35
Villarreal Villarreal
8 0 1 7 -13 1
36
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
8 0 1 7 -15 1

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record